Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.381548 5.054513 5.794627 6.668777 7.672921 8.790235 10.127887
2024-12-22 3.336875 4.185668 5.197596 6.492270 8.104471 10.046051 12.562752
2024-12-29 2.845780 3.840209 5.112075 6.856548 9.186517 12.191517 16.363886
2025-01-05 2.434299 3.507619 4.969649 7.103874 10.138639 14.299366 20.441594
2025-01-12 2.051121 3.137167 4.703655 7.123414 10.765074 16.041689 24.274865
2025-01-19 1.657719 2.678725 4.231031 6.756884 10.761487 16.865638 26.885716
2025-01-26 1.491809 2.534765 4.198503 7.037152 11.756301 19.288840 32.237001
2025-02-02 1.393832 2.480887 4.293705 7.525182 13.137612 22.484330 39.247397
2025-02-09 1.255369 2.334349 4.210466 7.695378 14.001804 24.930761 45.326906
2025-02-16 1.126899 2.183752 4.095206 7.786211 14.728848 27.218996 51.416169
2025-02-23 0.978619 1.972653 3.839330 7.579737 14.879211 28.487252 55.803862
2025-03-02 0.834807 1.747441 3.523944 7.211769 14.666094 29.042640 58.896151
2025-03-09 0.760004 1.652233 3.452716 7.325138 15.432965 31.609875 66.358842
2025-03-16 0.666361 1.503469 3.253438 7.150195 15.594924 33.012804 71.686431
2025-03-23 0.636856 1.488270 3.328549 7.563036 17.042878 37.217420 83.430808
2025-03-30 0.598481 1.447182 3.342046 7.843229 18.242981 41.056913 94.919370
2025-04-06 0.545343 1.363501 3.248999 7.869530 18.878835 43.755283 104.243240
2025-04-13 0.470491 1.215902 2.988443 7.467866 18.470448 44.068228 108.145046
2025-04-20 0.448265 1.194933 3.023354 7.779002 19.797033 48.530682 122.436291
2025-04-27 0.440077 1.208520 3.143985 8.318945 21.757713 54.738152 141.798261
2025-05-04 0.413510 1.169520 3.127482 8.507584 22.860492 59.004921 156.895733
2025-05-11 0.385154 1.121187 3.080062 8.608329 23.749580 62.851418 171.434643
2025-05-18 0.345372 1.034592 2.919177 8.380605 23.734078 64.385566 180.104448